With three weeks to go before the local elections, the gaps between the ruling and opposition candidates in the Busan mayoral race and the Daegu mayoral race narrowed to within the margin of error. The gaps also narrowed significantly in the Seoul mayoral race and the South Gyeongsang governor race.
In a poll commissioned by News1 to Gallup Korea on the 10th–11th for the four metropolitan mayor/governor races in Seoul, Busan, Daegu and South Gyeongsang, Chun Jae-soo of the Democratic Party of Korea had 43% in the Busan mayoral race, and Park Heong-joon of the People Power Party had 41%. It is a neck-and-neck race within the margin of error (±3.5%p).
The same was true in the Daegu mayoral race. Kim Boo-kyum of the Democratic Party had 44%, and Choo Kyung-ho of the People Power Party had 41%, within the margin of error.
In the South Gyeongsang governor race, Kim Kyeong-soo of the Democratic Party had 45%, and Park Wan-su of the People Power Party had 38%. This is also a close race within the margin of error.
In the Seoul mayoral race, Chong Won-o of the Democratic Party had 46%, and Oh Se-hoon of the People Power Party had 38%. It is outside the margin of error, but the gap has narrowed from a month ago. In a hypothetical head-to-head conducted a month ago by Segye Ilbo and commissioned to Gallup Korea, Chong had 52% and Oh had 37%.
On the special counsel bill for alleged fabricated indictment that the Democratic Party is pushing, more respondents in every region said it was "not appropriate." In Busan, 47% said "not appropriate" and 30% said "appropriate," and in Daegu, 54% said "not appropriate" and 22% said "appropriate."
In South Gyeongsang, 48% said "not appropriate" and 29% said "appropriate," and in Seoul, 49% said "not appropriate" and 31% said "appropriate."
The News1–Gallup Korea surveys were conducted via wireless telephone interviews, with a sampling error of 3.5%p at the 95% confidence level. The Seoul mayoral survey was conducted on the 9th–10th with 802 residents of Seoul aged 18 or older, with a response rate of 11.0%. The Busan mayoral survey was conducted on the 10th–11th with 801 residents of Busan aged 18 or older, with a response rate of 14.7%. The Daegu mayoral survey was conducted on the 9th–10th with 803 residents of Daegu aged 18 or older, with a response rate of 20.3%. The South Gyeongsang governor survey was conducted on the 11th–12th with 804 residents of South Gyeongsang aged 18 or older, with a response rate of 13.4%.
The Segye Ilbo–Gallup Korea survey was also conducted via wireless telephone interviews, with a sampling error of 3.5%p at the 95% confidence level. The Seoul mayoral survey was conducted on Apr. 10–11 with 803 Seoul residents, with a response rate of 11.9%.
For details of each survey, refer to the National Election Survey Deliberation Commission website.