A poll released on the 25th found that if former Prime Minister Kim Boo-kyum runs for Daegu mayor, Kim leads in all hypothetical head-to-head matchups against the People Power Party's Daegu mayoral primary candidates.
In a survey commissioned by Yeongnam Ilbo and conducted by Realmeter on the 22nd–23rd of Daegu residents ages 18 and older, with 812 adults polled, former Prime Minister Kim led all eight hypothetical matchups against People Power Party primary candidates. The survey also included former Korea Communications Commission Chairperson Lee Jin-sook and National Assembly Vice Speaker Joo Ho-young, both of whom were cut off.
Looking at the "one-on-one hypothetical matchups" between former Prime Minister Kim and individual People Power Party candidates, in the contest against the former chairperson, Kim had 47.0% and the former chairperson had 40.4%. The gap between the two was 6.6 percentage points (p), within the margin of error (±3.4% p).
"Former Prime Minister Kim (45.1%) vs. the vice speaker (38.0%)" showed a 7.1% p gap, and former Prime Minister Kim (47.6%) vs. Rep. Choo Kyung-ho (37.7%) showed a 9.9% p difference. Kim also recorded 47.6% against Rep. Yoon Jae-ok (32.9%), a 14.7% p gap, and earned 49.3% against Rep. Yoo Young-ha (33.2%), a 16.1% p gap. In head-to-head matchups with former Dong-gu District Chief Lee Jae-man, Rep. Choi Eun-seok, and former Rep. Hong Seok-jun, former Prime Minister Kim secured more than 50% in all cases.
Former Prime Minister Kim also showed an advantage in a multi-candidate scenario that included all Daegu mayoral contenders. In the multi-way race, Kim Boo-kyum had 35.6%, Lee Jin-sook 20.6%, Choo Kyung-ho 10.6%, Joo Ho-young 10.1%, Yoon Jae-ok 4.1%, Yoo Young-ha 3.2%, Choi Eun-seok 2.8%, Lee Jae-man 2.5%, and Hong Seok-jun 1.5%, in that order.
The survey used an automated response (ARS) method with 100% wireless virtual numbers, and the sampling error was ±3.4 percentage points at a 95% confidence level. For details, refer to the National Election Survey Deliberation Commission website.